A hybrid prediction model combining enhanced grey wolf optimization algorithm(EGWO) and long short-term memory(LSTM) neural network is proposed to address the problem of low accuracy in predicting the mass concentration of NO
x
at the outlet of selective catalytic reduction(SCR) denitrification reactors using conventional mechanism modeling methods. Firstly
based on principal component analysis(PCA)
the raw data is processed and filtered to achieve dimensionality reduction of input variables. Then
the EGWO is used to optimize the hyperparameters of LSTM. Finally
the input variables are used as in
puts for the EGWO-LSTM model to predict the mass concentration of NO
x
at the outlet. Taking a 1 000 MW ultra supercritical thermal power unit in China as an example
simulation results show that the proposed model performs the best in error control
with root mean square error reduces by 50.36% compared to the conventional LSTM model
and by 76.14% compared to the BP model
and the mean absolute percentage error of the model is only 1.01%. The EGWO has fewer iterations and higher convergence accuracy compared to the GWO when converging to the optimal solution.
关键词
Keywords
references
柴有国,何晓燕,苏永健,等.考虑安全环保及补偿的火电机组调峰经济性研究[J].中国电力, 2021, 54(11):199-205.CHAI Youguo, HE Xiaoyan, SU Yongjian, et al.Economic study on peak shaving of thermal power units considering safety, environmental protection, and compensation[J]. Electric Power, 2021, 54(11):199-205.
许壮,康英伟.基于随机森林的火电机组SCR脱硝反应器建模[J].动力工程学报, 2020, 40(6):486-491.XU Zhuang, KANG Yingwei. Modeling of SCR denitrification reactor for thermal power units based on random forest[J]. Journal of Power Engineering, 2020,40(6):486-491.
张珑慧,林德海,王颖,等.机器学习在火电厂NOx减排中的应用综述[J].热力发电, 2023, 52(1):7-17.ZHANG Longhui, LIN Dehai, WANG Ying, et al.Overview of the application of machine learning in NOx reduction in thermal power plants[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2023, 52(1):7-17.
张晓雯,向文国,陈时熠,等.基于小波去噪和PCAANFIS的SCR脱硝系统建模[J].热力发电, 2021,50(6):114-120.ZHANG Xiaowen, XIANG Wenguo, CHEN Shiyi, et al.Modeling of SCR denitrification system based on wavelet denoising and PCA-AFIS[J]. Thermal Power Generation,2021, 50(6):114-120.
徐圆圆,龚德鸿,邓传记,等. SCR反应器入口参数与反应温度对脱硝性能的交互作用[J].环境工程学报,2023, 17(11):3721-3729.XU Yuanyuan, GONG Dehong, DENG Chuanji, et al. The interaction between SCR reactor inlet parameters and reaction temperature on denitrification performance[J].Journal of Environmental Engineering, 2023, 17(11):3721-3729.
AN B, TANG M, QIU J, et al. Dynamic NOx prediction model for SCR denitrification outlet of coal-fired power plants based on hybrid data-driven and model ensemble[J]. Industrial&Engineering Chemistry Research, 2023, 62(36):14286-14299.
JUNJIE K, YUGUANG N, BO H, et al. Dynamic modeling of SCR denitration systems in coal-fired power plants based on a bi-directional long short-term memory method[J]. Process Safety and Environmental Protection,2021, 148(1):867-878.
李影,卓建坤,吴逸凡,等.可解释的变负荷下燃煤机组SCR反应器入口NOx质量浓度预测模型[J].热力发电, 2024, 53(7):119-128.LI Ying, ZHUO Jiankun, WU Yifan, et al. Explainable predictive model for NOx mass concentration at the inlet of SCR reactor in coal-fired power units under variable load[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2024, 53(7):119-128.
陆必伟,李捷辉.基于GWO-LSTM的柴油机NOx排放预测[J].车用发动机, 2024(3):80-87.LU Biwei, LI Jiehui. Prediction of NOx emissions from diesel engines based on GWO-LSTM[J]. Automotive Engines, 2024(3):80-87.
董浩,李明星,张淑清,等.基于核主成分分析和极限学习机的短期电力负荷预测[J].电子测量与仪器学报,2018, 32(1):188-193.DONG Hao, LI Mingxing, ZHANG Shuqing, et al. Short term power load forecasting based on kernel principal component analysis and extreme learning machine[J].Journal of Electronic Measurement and Instrumentation,2018, 32(1):188-193.
胡阳,杨泽,房方,等.火电机组供电碳减排高维运行特征提取及其最优基准值确定[J].中国电机工程学报,2021, 41(增刊1):210-220.HU Yang, YANG Ze, FANG Fang, et al. High dimensional operation feature extraction and optimal benchmark value determination for carbon emission reduction in power supply of thermal power units[J]. Proceedings of CSEE,2021, 41(Suppl.1):210-220.
HOCHREITER S J, UUM L, SCHMIDHUBER R. Long short-term memory[J]. Neural Computation, 1997, 9(8):1735.
吴磊,康英伟.基于改进粒子群优化长短时记忆神经网络的脱硫系统SO2预测模型[J].热力发电, 2021,50(12):66-73.WU Lei, KANG Yingwei. SO2 prediction model for desulfurization system based on improved particle swarm optimization long short-term memory neural network[J].Thermal Power Generation, 2021, 50(12):66-73.
MIRJALILI S, MIRJALILI S M, LEWIS A. Grey wolf optimizer[J]. Advance in Engineering Software, 2014, 69:46-61.
左剑,张程稳,肖逸,等.基于灰狼优化算法的多机电力系统稳定器参数最优设计[J].电网技术, 2017,41(9):2987-2995.ZUO Jian, ZHANG Chengwen, XIAO Yi, et al. Optimal design of stabilizer parameters for multi machine power systems based on grey wolf optimization algorithm[J].Grid Technology, 2017, 41(9):2987-2995.
仝卫国,郭超宇,赵如意.基于变量选择和MGWOLSTM的浆液pH值预测[J].控制工程, 2024, 31(12):2140-2148.TONG Weiguo, GUO Chaoyu, ZHAO Ruyi. Prediction of pH value of slurry based on variable selection and MGWO-LSTM[J]. Control Engineering, 2024, 31(12):2140-2148.