[Objective] Against the dual backdrop of urgent global climate governance and low-carbon transformation demands of the coal-fired power industry
carbon capture and storage(CCS) is widely recognized as a critical pathway to deep emission reduction in the power system. However
the high cost of CCS technology has severely hindered its large-scale promotion. To address this cost optimization challenge
this study aims to systematically explore the cost-driven mechanisms of the full-chain CCS system
identify key influencing factors
and propose a targeted cost-reduction paradigm
providing theoretical and practical support for the scientific deployment and commercialization of CCS in coal-fired power plants. [Methods] This study adopted the ITEAM-CCUS quantitative evaluation model
covering the full-chain CCS and integrating three core modules: geological carbon storage assessment
techno-economic analysis
and source-sink matching optimization. A systematic multiparameter sensitivity analysis was conducted based on a sample of 165 domestic coal-fired power plants. These samples were selected to represent different regional distributions
unit capacities
and operational conditions
ensuring the generalizability and reliability of the research results. The analysis focused on key technical
economic
and geological parameters
such as absorbent regeneration heat consumption
coal price
plant utilization hours
electricity price
transportation distance
and reservoir properties. [Results] The study revealed that the average levelized cost of the full-chain CCS is 303 yuan per ton of CO2. Among the four chains
the capture and compression stages account for over 80% of the total cost
emerging as the primary focus for cost reduction. Specifically
capture cost is most significantly influenced by absorbent regeneration heat consumption
coal price
and plant utilization hours
and reducing regeneration heat consumption through technological innovation or improving plant operational efficiency can effectively lower capture costs. Compression cost shows a strong correlation with electricity price. Pipeline transportation cost is constrained by transportation distance and economies of scale. Storage cost is extremely sensitive to geological parameters such as reservoir's permeability coefficient
thickness
and depthreservoirs with higher permeability
greater thickness
and moderate depth are more conducive to reducing drilling
injection
and monitoring costs. [Conclusion] Based on the quantitative findings
this study proposes a systematic “scale-geology-energy efficiency synergy” cost-reduction paradigm. The specific pathways include technological innovation for low-energy consumption in the capture stage
large-scale infrastructure sharing across the full-chain CCS
refined operation and management of the CCS system
and policy incentives. This research clarifies CCS cost structures and driving factors
providing a feasible framework for governments
enterprises
and research institutions. It offers important theoretical and practical reference for promoting large-scale
commercial CCS application in coal-fired power plants
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